SG Marpingen-Urexweiler vs SV Preußen Merchweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Marpingen-Urexweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FVS
3 - 1
SMU
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SMU
0 - 3
JAG
10%
14%
76%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SVB
1 - 2
SMU
79%
13%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SMU
2 - 4
VPN
52%
21%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ELV
2 - 5
SMU
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
SV Preußen Merchweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPM
1 - 3
HWI
7%
11%
82%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SPM
1 - 2
TUS
23%
20%
57%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FVS
2 - 0
SPM
28%
21%
51%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SPM
2 - 1
JAG
8%
13%
78%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SVB
3 - 3
SPM
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |