SpVgg Herten vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
13.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Herten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
TSV
2 - 0
SPV
47%
22%
31%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
SPV
2 - 3
WUP
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1963 |
ARB
1 - 1
SPV
42%
23%
36%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1963 |
SPV
5 - 1
LEV
77%
13%
10%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1963 |
SPO
1 - 1
SPV
46%
22%
32%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
ROT
3 - 1
LSV
67%
18%
15%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
HAM
3 - 1
ROT
36%
24%
41%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1963 |
ROT
3 - 1
VIK
48%
22%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1963 |
F95
8 - 5
ROT
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1963 |
ROT
2 - 1
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |