Spēks vs Alberts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spēks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SPE
0 - 2
DIR
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SPE
4 - 2
GRO
4%
8%
88%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | +9 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
UPE
2 - 4
SPE
15%
17%
68%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
PRA
0 - 2
SPE
80%
14%
7%
|
19 | 58 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
BJS
4 - 0
ALB
40%
22%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FKK
5 - 1
ALB
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 4
PAR
17%
18%
65%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 0
ALB
83%
11%
6%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
DIR
7 - 0
ALB
80%
13%
8%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | -1 |