Horion vs UCE Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCE Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SFR
1 - 3
LIE
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LIE
3 - 1
WEY
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LIE
1 - 0
RAE
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LIE
3 - 1
EHB
82%
13%
6%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BEA
1 - 2
LIE
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |