AU Güímar vs CD Bahía de Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AU Güímar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 0
UDL
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 2
GUI
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
5 - 0
CHI
83%
11%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 1
GUI
17%
21%
63%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 0
CDT
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Bahía de Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UDL
0 - 0
BAS
58%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 2
LAG
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
BAS
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
SLC
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 4
CSM
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |