Moro vs Fomento Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
FDR
6 - 1
MOR
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 4
ESP
12%
15%
73%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 2
MOR
27%
20%
54%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
DRA
3 - 1
MOR
56%
19%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 3
SAP
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fomento Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 2
ESP
14%
16%
70%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 2
BOR
42%
21%
37%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
DRA
3 - 1
FCA
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
FCA
8 - 1
AND
62%
17%
21%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 0
FCA
77%
14%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |