ASFID Vila-real vs Fomento Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASFID Vila-real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
JAS
5 - 3
ASF
79%
12%
9%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ASF
1 - 8
SAP
14%
17%
69%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 6
ASF
29%
20%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ASF
4 - 3
MOR
39%
22%
40%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ROD
6 - 0
ASF
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fomento Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 3
FCA
38%
21%
41%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
FCA
3 - 3
MOR
47%
21%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
ROD
3 - 2
FCA
92%
6%
2%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
FCA
4 - 0
LPC
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
EVR
2 - 1
FCA
79%
12%
9%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |