Aberdeen II vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
85.4%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 1
ABD
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 3
ARB
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ARB
3 - 1
PAR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ARB
2 - 2
STJ
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AYR
2 - 2
ARB
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 1
ICT
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |