9 de Octubre vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
10º
5º
69
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
OCT
27%
28%
46%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
OCT
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 1
OCT
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
OCT
4 - 1
CHA
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 2
IVT
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 0
LFC
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 0
CSV
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 2
CUN
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 0
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |