9 de Octubre vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
6º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 1
OCT
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 3
MAC
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 0
OCT
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
OCT
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 1
AME
50%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
CSV
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 1
CHA
29%
30%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
CUN
0 - 0
CSV
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 2
IMB
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 1
CSV
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |