9 de Octubre vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 2
RIV
58%
25%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LDU
2 - 0
OCT
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
OCT
3 - 2
IND
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 1
DEL
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
OCT
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
IVT
27%
26%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAC
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
BSC
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
CUE
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |