9 de Octubre vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 1
OCT
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 1
OCT
56%
21%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
OCT
2 - 2
EME
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
OLM
1 - 2
OCT
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
IVT
1 - 1
TEC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
UCE
1 - 3
IVT
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
IVT
1 - 0
BSC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
DEL
0 - 0
IVT
32%
26%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
IVT
1 - 0
AUC
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |