Copa Ecuador . Semi-finals
Global 0-2
9 de Octubre vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
OCT
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 1
CFC
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
OCT
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 1
OCT
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 2
LIG
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
IMB
3 - 2
NAC
24%
27%
48%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
4 - 2
CAL
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
NAC
27%
29%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |