9 de Julio Rafaela vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
8º
6º
46
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
JAN
1 - 1
9DJ
58%
25%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
9DJ
2 - 1
CDN
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GYT
2 - 0
9DJ
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
9DJ
1 - 0
SMA
20%
27%
53%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
9DJ
69%
21%
10%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 2
SOL
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
JAN
2 - 1
BUC
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 0
CDN
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 0
BUC
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 0
SMA
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |