7 de Abril vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 3
CIG
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
PER
3 - 0
CIG
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 1
SAO
37%
23%
41%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
AME
4 - 0
CIG
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 4
AME
21%
22%
58%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DUQ
2 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CEC
3 - 3
DUQ
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 1
PER
25%
22%
52%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
DUQ
0 - 1
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |