4 de Julho vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
4DE
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 0
RIV
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
4DE
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
4DE
23%
25%
53%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
PIC
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 4
FPI
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 1
TIR
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
4DE
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
FLA
4 - 0
ALT
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +7 |