4 de Julho vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
0 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
4DE
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
4DE
5 - 1
PDS
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
PDS
0 - 5
4DE
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 3
4DE
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PIC
2 - 3
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 0
PIC
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
4 - 1
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PIA
0 - 2
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |