UG 35 vs Algeti XXI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UG 35
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
SKO
6 - 4
DUR
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
SKO
1 - 7
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
MES
2 - 2
SKO
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
SKO
2 - 1
MEA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
LAG
0 - 2
SKO
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Algeti XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 1
MAR
10%
18%
72%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALG
81%
14%
5%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
FKG
3 - 0
ALG
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 3
IBE
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
GAG
2 - 2
ALG
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |