3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 3
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
LQE
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
12O
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
BSC
48%
27%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
BSC
1 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 1
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |