1860 München vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
TSH
0 - 2
MUN
9%
16%
75%
|
75 | 30 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
SCG
0 - 3
MUN
9%
16%
75%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
MUN
1 - 5
AUG
80%
12%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
MUN
2 - 4
KOL
40%
23%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
MUN
1 - 3
RTV
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
BYM
1 - 1
BRE
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1989 |
AUS
2 - 0
BRE
46%
26%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1989 |
BRE
4 - 0
KAI
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
KFC
0 - 1
BRE
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1989 |
BRE
5 - 0
AUS
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |