1860 München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1977 |
BAY
0 - 0
MUN
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1977 |
OFC
1 - 3
MUN
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
MUN
6 - 0
RVO
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1977 |
HOM
2 - 0
MUN
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
MUN
0 - 0
STU
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1977 |
FCN
2 - 2
RVO
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1977 |
HOM
0 - 4
FCN
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
FCN
0 - 4
STU
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1977 |
AUG
1 - 1
FCN
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1977 |
FCN
2 - 0
WAL
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |