1860 München II vs TSV Grünwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
7º
2º
33
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
186
3 - 1
RAI
74%
16%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
186
2 - 1
SCH
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 0
186
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
186
3 - 0
FCP
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 5
186
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Grünwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 2
DEI
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ISM
2 - 2
TSV
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 0
HEI
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
10 - 1
TSV
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 4
KIR
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |