14 de Julho vs Riograndense SM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 2
ECJ
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
ECJ
2 - 0
RIO
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
4 - 1
ECJ
44%
27%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ECJ
3 - 2
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
ECJ
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Riograndense SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FAR
2 - 1
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
FAR
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 2
RIO
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
ECJ
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |