Union Berlin vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2004 |
COT
2 - 1
FCU
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
FCU
1 - 1
M05
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
FCU
1 - 2
WAC
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
KSC
2 - 1
FCU
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
FCU
0 - 2
RWA
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ERZ
2 - 1
EIN
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SSV
1 - 1
ERZ
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
UNT
1 - 2
ERZ
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 0
LUB
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
MSV
2 - 2
ERZ
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |