Union Berlin vs BSG Stahl Riesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1987 |
SGD
5 - 0
FCU
80%
14%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
FCU
2 - 1
ERF
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
FVF
0 - 1
FCU
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
FCU
4 - 2
CHE
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
COT
2 - 1
FCU
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
BSG Stahl Riesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1987 |
BSG
3 - 2
BSV
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
BSG
0 - 1
SGD
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
ERF
1 - 2
BSG
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
BSG
2 - 3
FVF
28%
29%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
CHE
2 - 1
BSG
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |