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Oberliga. Bayern Nord, Matchday 34

1. FC Sand vs ASV Neumarkt analysis

1. FC Sand ASV Neumarkt
6 ELO 5
-43% Tilt 107%
10920º General ELO ranking 11451º
467º Country ELO ranking 527º
ELO win probability
12.3%
1. FC Sand
18.7%
Draw
68.9%
ASV Neumarkt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
1. FC Sand
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.9%
Win probability
ASV Neumarkt
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Sand
-41%
+78%
ASV Neumarkt

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vilzing
81
81
50%
SpVgg Ansbach
81
81
50%
ATSV Erlangen
72
72
100%
Eintracht Bamberg
68
68
100%
ASV Neumarkt
61
61
100%
DJK Bamberg
56
56
100%
DJK Gebenbach
52
52
50%
Ammerthal
52
52
50%
TSV Abtswind
51
51
100%
Feucht SC
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Grossbardorf
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Bayern Hof
12º
39
39
12º
100%
ASV Cham
13º
32
32
13º
100%
Würzburger FV
14º
31
31
14º
50%
Vatanspor
15º
31
31
15º
50%
TSV Karlburg
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Seligenporten
17º
21
21
17º
100%
1. FC Sand
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
1. FC Sand
ASV Neumarkt
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

ASV Neumarkt
NEU
1. FC Sand
SAN
Nürnberg II
NUR
Eichstätt
EIC
Ingolstadt 04
ING
Bayern Hof
BAY
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Sand
1. FC Sand
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2022
TSK
TSV Karlburg
2 - 1
1. FC Sand
SAN
45%
27%
28%
108 137 29 -1
07 May. 2022
SAN
1. FC Sand
0 - 7
Vilzing
VIL
46%
27%
27%
110 124 -14 -2
04 May. 2022
SAN
1. FC Sand
0 - 1
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
46%
27%
28%
104 133 -29 0
30 Apr. 2022
TSV
Vatanspor
3 - 1
1. FC Sand
SAN
46%
27%
27%
110 112 2 -1
27 Apr. 2022
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
4 - 0
1. FC Sand
SAN
46%
27%
28%
116 74 -42 0

Matches

ASV Neumarkt
ASV Neumarkt
1%
X%
2%
ELO NEU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2022
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
1 - 3
DJK Bamberg
DJJ
46%
27%
27%
109 111 -2 -1
07 May. 2022
EIN
Eintracht Bamberg
2 - 3
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
45%
27%
28%
108 128 20 +1
29 Apr. 2022
FEU
Feucht SC
0 - 2
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
45%
27%
28%
105 115 10 +1
23 Apr. 2022
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
3 - 0
TSV Karlburg
TSK
46%
27%
28%
99 133 -34 +1
20 Apr. 2022
AMM
Ammerthal
2 - 4
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
46%
27%
27%
98 88 -10 +1