1.FC Monheim vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
48.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
17º
14º
17
11º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 68 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 65 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 62 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 59 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 58 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 40 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 33 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 24 |
17º
|
38% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1.FC Monheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NET
1 - 0
1FC
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
1FC
2 - 2
SFN
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
1FC
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
1FC
2 - 1
MFC
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 1
1FC
37%
23%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SFB
3 - 1
KLE
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
TEU
2 - 1
SFB
33%
23%
44%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SFB
2 - 3
GRA
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MEE
1 - 1
SFB
29%
22%
49%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SFB
1 - 4
HIL
54%
22%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |