Magdeburg II vs VfB Krieschow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
4º
1º
22
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 58 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 54 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 53 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 53 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 45 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 31 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 29 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
57.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 3
MAG
17%
20%
63%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 1
VFL
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 1
MAG
14%
19%
67%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
GER
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 4
MAG
12%
19%
69%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
1 - 3
BIS
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 3
VFB
37%
22%
42%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
5 - 1
WIS
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 1
VFB
37%
22%
41%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
8 - 2
SVB
84%
10%
5%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |