Köln vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BVB
0 - 0
KOL
69%
20%
12%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
KOL
4 - 2
EIN
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
SCF
2 - 1
KOL
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
BYM
4 - 1
KOL
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 98 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
KOL
1 - 1
HAN
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 4
BYM
6%
14%
80%
|
81 | 98 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SCF
0 - 1
BRE
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
ARB
3 - 1
BRE
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 5
WOL
34%
24%
43%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
S04
1 - 1
BRE
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |