Köln vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2007 |
KOL
2 - 1
KAI
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
M05
1 - 0
KOL
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
KOL
3 - 0
AUG
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
HOF
0 - 2
KOL
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
KOL
3 - 2
ERZ
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
STP
1 - 0
M05
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
AAA
2 - 2
STP
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
STP
3 - 4
KAI
33%
27%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ERZ
0 - 0
STP
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
STP
2 - 0
AUG
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |