Köln vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
HAN
3 - 1
KOL
37%
25%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 2
KOL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
KOL
4 - 2
S04
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
STU
5 - 0
KOL
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
KOL
0 - 0
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
SAA
2 - 2
HSV
31%
27%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
KFC
2 - 1
SAA
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
HAN
2 - 0
SAA
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1985 |
SAA
3 - 2
S04
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
STU
3 - 1
SAA
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |