Köln vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
FCU
1 - 0
KOL
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
KOL
8 - 1
SIE
89%
10%
2%
|
83 | 24 | 59 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 1
BVB
13%
18%
70%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
LEV
0 - 1
KOL
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
KOL
0 - 1
HOF
26%
23%
51%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 1
M05
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
M05
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
M05
4 - 0
ARB
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
M05
0 - 1
BVB
11%
17%
72%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FCU
3 - 1
M05
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |