Köln vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
OIF
0 - 0
KOL
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
KAI
3 - 1
KOL
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
KOL
3 - 3
LEV
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1995 |
MUN
2 - 1
KOL
29%
26%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1995 |
HSV
0 - 4
KOL
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1995 |
FCL
3 - 2
OIF
40%
24%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
TOT
0 - 2
FCL
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1995 |
FCL
0 - 0
GCZ
26%
28%
47%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
NEX
3 - 3
FCL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
FCL
3 - 2
SIO
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |