Köln vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FTB
0 - 4
KOL
7%
16%
76%
|
81 | 29 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FSV
2 - 0
KOL
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
KOL
4 - 0
STP
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ING
1 - 1
KOL
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
KOL
3 - 1
BOC
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
COT
2 - 3
HSV
18%
20%
62%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ERF
1 - 3
HSV
14%
18%
68%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
HSV
0 - 2
LAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
HSV
2 - 0
AKB
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
STR
0 - 2
HSV
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |