Köln vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
BVB
0 - 0
KOL
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
KOL
4 - 1
NIT
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
KOL
4 - 2
BRE
50%
25%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
STP
1 - 1
KOL
29%
29%
42%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
KOL
1 - 1
LEV
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
FCN
2 - 0
KSC
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
HOM
0 - 1
FCN
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
FCN
2 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
FCN
3 - 0
F95
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1989 |
BVB
2 - 1
FCN
71%
17%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |