Köln vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 0
KOL
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
KOL
4 - 0
FCU
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
KOL
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
KOL
0 - 0
MUN
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KSC
1 - 2
KOL
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
ING
2 - 0
VFR
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
ING
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
SGF
0 - 1
ING
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ING
1 - 2
F95
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 1
ING
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |