Köln vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
HSV
0 - 2
KOL
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
KOL
2 - 1
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
KOL
0 - 0
HER
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
S04
1 - 0
KOL
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
KOL
1 - 0
WOL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
AUG
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
AUG
1 - 0
HSV
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
AUG
3 - 3
SCF
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
S04
3 - 2
AUG
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
AUG
1 - 1
HER
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |