Köln vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
LEV
4 - 2
KOL
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
KOL
2 - 2
HSV
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1996 |
KOL
4 - 1
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
KSC
4 - 1
KOL
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
KOL
3 - 1
S04
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1996 |
BVB
5 - 3
STB
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
BVB
1 - 1
HSV
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
BRE
0 - 4
BVB
40%
25%
35%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1996 |
WLO
2 - 2
BVB
25%
26%
48%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
BVB
1 - 1
KSC
60%
22%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |