Köln vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
HSV
0 - 1
KOL
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
KOL
1 - 2
HER
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
HOF
2 - 0
KOL
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
KOL
1 - 0
BRE
19%
22%
60%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HAN
2 - 1
KOL
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
RTV
2 - 0
EIN
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
HSV
3 - 1
RTV
63%
23%
15%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
RTV
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
RTV
0 - 2
HAN
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 2
RTV
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |