Köln vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1990 |
STU
3 - 2
KOL
43%
27%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1990 |
KOL
2 - 0
STP
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
LEV
2 - 0
KOL
36%
28%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
BRA
0 - 2
KOL
13%
23%
65%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
KAI
1 - 2
KOL
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
ATL
1 - 0
PIS
54%
26%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1990 |
BAR
3 - 0
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ATL
44%
28%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
22%
29%
50%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |