Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
BYM
8 - 0
KOL
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2003 |
KOL
3 - 0
KSC
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
KOL
1 - 0
WAC
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
EIN
2 - 3
KOL
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
FCN
0 - 2
KOL
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2003 |
SCF
1 - 1
AAA
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
STP
1 - 4
AAA
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
AAA
3 - 1
REU
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
ROT
1 - 1
AAA
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
AAA
1 - 2
WAL
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |