Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1961 |
KOL
5 - 0
F95
80%
12%
8%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1961 |
ROT
4 - 1
KOL
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
KOL
3 - 0
MSV
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
SVS
1 - 5
KOL
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
PRE
1 - 0
KOL
41%
24%
36%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1961 |
AAA
3 - 1
SVS
77%
14%
10%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1961 |
F95
3 - 0
AAA
73%
15%
12%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROT
61%
20%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
MSV
1 - 0
AAA
63%
20%
18%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
TSV
0 - 1
AAA
61%
19%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |