Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
MSV
2 - 1
KOL
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
KOL
6 - 2
BOC
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
HAM
0 - 0
KOL
50%
22%
29%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
KOL
1 - 4
VIK
69%
16%
14%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
DUI
4 - 1
KOL
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
AAA
2 - 1
S04
73%
15%
12%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
AAA
6 - 0
HAM
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
DUI
1 - 2
AAA
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
AAA
4 - 0
BOC
81%
11%
8%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
BVB
0 - 1
AAA
74%
15%
11%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |