Köln vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
STP
0 - 1
KOL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
COT
0 - 0
KOL
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 1
ERZ
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 0
BVB
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
STU
2 - 1
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FCU
1 - 1
ING
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
FCU
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
FCU
3 - 1
SVS
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
EBT
4 - 3
FCU
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
FCU
2 - 0
KAI
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |