1º Dezembro vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ADN
0 - 2
1DE
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
COV
0 - 1
1DE
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
1DE
0 - 1
CAS
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 1
1DE
37%
27%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 2
1DE
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAF
49%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
BEN
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
TOU
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
POM
1 - 2
BEN
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |