Lowland League Jor. 8

Caledonian Braves vs Hearts II analysis

Caledonian Braves Hearts II
38 ELO 37
0.8% Tilt -2.4%
5988º General ELO ranking 4610º
64º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
47.7%
Caledonian Braves
24%
Draw
28.4%
Hearts II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
Caledonian Braves
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.4%
Win probability
Hearts II
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caledonian Braves
+53%
+36%
Hearts II

Points and table prediction

Caledonian Braves
Their league position
Hearts II
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
12º
10º
48
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartans
79
79
100%
Rangers FC II
74
77
100%
Celtic II
76
76
100%
Stirling University
71
71
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
65
65
100%
East Kilbride
64
64
100%
Berwick Rangers
61
61
100%
Civil Service Strollers
58
58
100%
Bo'ness United
54
54
100%
Caledonian Braves
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Broomhill FC
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Hearts II
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Cowdenbeath
15º
36
36
15º
100%
East Stirlingshire
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Dalbeattie Star
19º
8
8
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Caledonian Braves
Hearts II
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Caledonian Braves
Hearts II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caledonian Braves
Caledonian Braves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2022
BER
Berwick Rangers
0 - 2
Caledonian Braves
CBF
54%
23%
24%
36 37 1 0
20 Aug. 2022
CBF
Caledonian Braves
5 - 0
AFC Edinburgh University
AFC
85%
10%
5%
36 17 19 0
13 Aug. 2022
CBF
Caledonian Braves
3 - 3
Rangers FC II
RFC
11%
17%
72%
36 53 17 0
06 Aug. 2022
THE
East Stirlingshire
1 - 1
Caledonian Braves
CBF
64%
20%
16%
36 42 6 0
03 Aug. 2022
DAL
Dalbeattie Star
2 - 3
Caledonian Braves
CBF
17%
19%
65%
35 21 14 +1

Matches

Hearts II
Hearts II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2022
THE
East Stirlingshire
0 - 2
Hearts II
HOM
51%
21%
28%
36 37 1 0
21 Aug. 2022
HOM
Hearts II
1 - 1
Celtic II
CFC
18%
21%
61%
35 48 13 +1
13 Aug. 2022
BON
Bo'ness United
4 - 1
Hearts II
HOM
61%
20%
19%
37 39 2 -2
10 Aug. 2022
HOM
Hearts II
2 - 3
Buckie Thistle
BUC
8%
12%
80%
37 52 15 0
06 Aug. 2022
HOM
Hearts II
2 - 2
Civil Service Strollers
CIV
57%
20%
24%
37 34 3 0
X