The probability of each team making it to the 2018/19 Europa League knockout stage

BeSoccer 6 years ago 7.4k
The probability of each team making it to the 2018/19 Europea League knockout stage. BeSoccer

Witht he 2018/19 Europa League campaign upon us, we take a look at each side's chances of reaching the knockout stages, according to a study by 'FiveThirtyEight'.

GROUP A

Bayer LEverkusen have the best chance of extending their European campaign into the new year with 84% despite an irregular start to the league season. Ludogorets are expected to join them (76%)m with minnows Zurich and Larnaca needing a miracle.

GROUP B

The two Red Bull teams are expected to advance to the knockout stage, with Salzburg given a 78% percent chance of progressing and Leipzig 63%. Celtic poor start to the season sees them given just a 30% chance, with Rosenborg expected to have little impact on the competition.

GROUP C

Zenit St Petersburg are the clear favourties according to the study (84%. The battle for second could be interesting with both Bordeaux and Kobenhavn in with a chance (54% and 52% respectively. Slavia Prague following a long way behind with just 10%.

GROUP D

Turkish giants Fenerbahce are backed to be part of the final 32 (75%) just ahead of Anderlecht (69%). Dinamo Zagreb could be in with a shout (45%), but Slovakian side Spartak Trnava look unlikely to advance (9%).,

GROUP E

A group that may well be already sewn up if the statistics are to be believed, with Arsenal (91%) and Sporting Lisbon (70%) heavily backed to progress. Voskla and Qarabag (23% and 15%) trail a long way behind.

GROUP F

AC Milan are surprisingly not suspected to prevail (29%), with Spanish side Real Betis (68%) and Greek outfit Olympiakos (57%) preferred. Luxembourgish side Dudelange have one of the lowest chances of progressing in the competition with just 3%.

GROUP G

Villarreal are expected to dominate the group (84%), with Rapid Vienna the most likely to join them in the knockout stage (31%) ahead of Rangers (15%) and Spartak Moscow (9%).

GROUP H

Lazio and Marseille are given an 80% and 71% chance respectively of making it to the knckout phase, with Eintracht FRankfurt some way behind on 42%. Cypriots Apollon Limassol (8%) look to just have pride to play for.

GROUP I

A few possibilities in this one, though Besiktas are the most likely to progress (77%). They are followed by Genk (63%) and Malmo (52%), with Norwegians Sarpsborg unlikely to remain in the competition beyond the group stage (8%).

GROUP J

Europa League veterans Sevilla are unsurprisingly favourites to advance (85%), with Krasnodar (63%) and Standard Liege (44%) set to battle to join them in th eknockout stage. Turkish minnows Akhisar are the least likely team in the competition to make it out of the group (2%).

GROUP K

Dinamo Kiev and Rennes (84% and 58% respectively) are the favourites, though both Astana and Jablonec (29% and 29%) are not without hope.

GROUP L

Having been placed in a group with Chelsea and PAOK, there appeas to be little hope for BATE and MOL Vidi. The 'Blues' have a 96% chance of progression and the Greeks 86%, leaving the Belarusians and the Hungarians with just 12% and 5% respectively.

Mentioned in the news story

Anderlecht
Real Betis
Girondins Bordeaux
Eintracht Frankfurt
Kobenhavn
Spartak Trnava
Malmö FF
Olympiacos
Spartak Moskva
Standard de Liège
Villarreal
BATE Borisov
B. Leverkusen
Salzburg
Stade Rennais
F91 Dudelange
Sporting CP
Dynamo Kyiv
Olympique Marseille
Sarpsborg 08
FK Krasnodar
Qarabağ
AEK Larnaca
Ludogorets
Fehérvár
Vorskla Poltava
RB Leipzig
Rapid Wien
Dinamo Zagreb
Jablonec
Sparta Praha
Akhisar Belediyespor
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Apollon Limassol
Europa League