Here are the favourites for the Champions League last 16 ties

Jack Ottman 6 years ago 15.7k
The numbers have spoken. AFP

According to BeSoccer's own analysis tools, these are the percentage chances of victory for each team in the last 16 of this year's Champions League, as the ties were decided during the draw this afternoon.

Who is the favourite in the biggest clash in the last 16, PSG or Real Madrid? The Ligue 1 giants have a 49% chance of advancing to the next stage, while Los Blancos are slightly more likely at 51%.

The other tie which sticks out is Barcelona v Chelsea. According to our statistics, Barcelona are the favourites, which a chance of 54% of winning the tie, compared to Chelsea's 46%.

As Juventus face Tottenham, the Serie A champions are 52% likely to go through to the quarter finals, while Spurs have a 48% chance. A slight advantage for 'Il Bianconeri'.

The tie between Sevilla and Manchester United promises to be exciting, although Mourinho's side have an advantage of the La Liga side, with a 55% chance compared to 45%.

FC Basel will face Manchester City, and the clear favourites are the Premier League side. City have a 66% chance of progressing to the final eight, while the Swiss side have just a 34% chance.

The Reds are slight favourites in their tie with Porto, as the Portuguese side have a 48% chance, compared to Liverpool's 52%.

When Bayern Munich face Besiktas, they will be strong favourites to emerge victorious with a percentage of 60%, compared to 40% for the Turkish side.

Another one of the somewhat uneven pairings is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Roma. The Ukrainians are 38% likely to advance, compared to 62% for the Italian side.

These figures are courtesy of ELO, a variable which works out a team's likelihood of progressing based on their players, recent results, spikes in form etc. 

The statistics have spoken now, but the ball will do the talking in February...

Mentioned in the news story

Barcelona
Bayern München
Juventus
Manchester City
Manchester United
Real Madrid
Tottenham Hotspur
Shakhtar Donetsk
Liverpool
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