Zwettl vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwettl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2000 |
AUS
2 - 3
ZWE
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2000 |
ZWE
3 - 2
KOT
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
SVH
6 - 0
ZWE
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2000 |
ZWE
3 - 2
WUR
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
FJD
1 - 2
ZWE
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2000 |
BAU
0 - 1
NEU
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
BAU
3 - 1
WUR
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2000 |
BAU
1 - 1
SVS
26%
25%
50%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
AUS
0 - 4
BAU
71%
18%
12%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +3 |
| 13 Oct. 2000 |
BAU
0 - 0
KOT
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |