J3 League Round 12

Zweigen Kanazawa vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis

Zweigen Kanazawa Giravanz Kitakyushu
58 ELO 62
4.4% Tilt 1.3%
3520º General ELO ranking 2655º
60º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
38.8%
Zweigen Kanazawa
26.3%
Draw
34.9%
Giravanz Kitakyushu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
Zweigen Kanazawa
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.9%
Win probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zweigen Kanazawa
-2%
-5%
Giravanz Kitakyushu

Points and table prediction

Zweigen Kanazawa
Their league position
Giravanz Kitakyushu
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
19º
11º
34
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vanraure Hachinohe
51
73
52.5%
Tochigi City
48
69
24.5%
Kagoshima United
45
67
21.5%
Osaka
45
66
19%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
44
65
20.5%
Nara Club
41
59
21.5%
Fukushima United
13º
32
56
20%
Matsumoto Yamaga
11º
32
53
10.5%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
34
52
15%
Sagamihara
33
52
10º
11.5%
Zweigen Kanazawa
10º
32
50
11º
14%
Gainare Tottori
12º
32
50
12º
13%
Tochigi
33
48
13º
6%
Kochi United
14º
31
46
14º
15.5%
Ryūkyū
15º
28
44
15º
13%
Thespa Gunma
16º
27
42
16º
15%
Gifu
19º
23
39
17º
13.5%
Kamatamare Sanuki
17º
25
37
18º
22.5%
Parceiro Nagano
18º
25
37
19º
22%
Azul Claro Numazu
20º
18
30
20º
66%
Expected probabilities
Zweigen Kanazawa
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
6% 10.5%
Mid-table
93% 89%
Relegation play-offs
0.5% 0.5%
Relegation
0.5% 0%

ELO progression

Zweigen Kanazawa
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Thespa Gunma
Gifu
Osaka
Ryūkyū
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zweigen Kanazawa
Zweigen Kanazawa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2025
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 - 1
Zweigen Kanazawa
ZWE
53%
25%
22%
59 64 5 0
27 Apr. 2025
VAN
Vanraure Hachinohe
2 - 0
Zweigen Kanazawa
ZWE
44%
27%
30%
59 61 2 0
20 Apr. 2025
TOC
Tochigi
0 - 1
Zweigen Kanazawa
ZWE
39%
28%
33%
58 60 2 +1
13 Apr. 2025
ZWE
Zweigen Kanazawa
2 - 1
Nara Club
NAR
44%
26%
30%
58 59 1 0
06 Apr. 2025
GAI
Gainare Tottori
1 - 1
Zweigen Kanazawa
ZWE
43%
24%
33%
57 55 2 +1

Matches

Giravanz Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2025
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0 - 0
Tochigi
TOC
45%
29%
26%
61 59 2 0
26 Apr. 2025
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
33%
28%
40%
62 64 2 -1
20 Apr. 2025
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 1
Sagamihara
SAG
50%
27%
23%
61 55 6 +1
16 Apr. 2025
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 2
Yokohama
YOK
14%
21%
66%
62 79 17 -1
12 Apr. 2025
FUK
Fukushima United
1 - 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
49%
25%
26%
62 63 1 0